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How the South African petrol price is set, and what changed in 2026

Petrol in South Africa does not float freely like the price of bread. The government sets the maximum retail price of petrol every month using a published formula. This guide explains that formula in plain terms, shows how prices moved in 2026, and explains the fuel levy relief announced in October. Our live tracker is at cars.randswitch.com/petrol-price.

Who sets the price, and when

The Department of Mineral and Petroleum Resources (DMPR) adjusts fuel prices on the first Wednesday of every month. The Central Energy Fund calculates the numbers every day during the month, and the average over the period decides the next adjustment. So the price you pay in November reflects what happened to oil and the rand in October. The price lags world markets by about a month.

According to the DMPR:

The building blocks of the price

The DMPR breaks the fuel price into these parts:

Building blockWhat it is
Basic Fuel Price (BFP)What it would cost to import the fuel: the international product price plus freight, insurance and other costs to land it here, converted to rand
Taxes and leviesGeneral fuel levy, carbon fuel levy, Road Accident Fund (RAF) levy, customs and excise, the slate levy and smaller levies such as the Demand Side Management Levy and petroleum pipelines levy
MarginsWholesale and retail margins set for the industry, including the service station's margin
Transport and other costsGetting fuel from the coast to inland areas (priced by magisterial zone), plus stock financing

The BFP: oil prices and the rand

The BFP is an "import parity" price. It uses international product prices rather than crude oil directly. For petrol, the DMPR uses 50% Mediterranean and 50% Singapore prices. For diesel and paraffin it uses 50% Mediterranean and 50% Arab Gulf prices. These are converted at the daily rand/US dollar exchange rate at 11:00.

This is why two things move the petrol price most: the price of refined fuel overseas and the rand. A weaker rand makes the same barrel more expensive in rand.

Taxes and levies we can confirm

SARS publishes the fuel levies in Schedule 1 of the Customs and Excise Act. From 1 April 2026, for petrol:

Levy (petrol)Cents per litre from 1 Apr 2026Before
General fuel levy410c401c
Carbon fuel levy19c14c
Road Accident Fund levy225c218c
Total of these three654c (R6.54)633c

For diesel, the general fuel levy is 393c and the carbon fuel levy is 23c per litre from the same date.

On top of this sits the slate levy, which recovers past under-recoveries when the regulated price was below cost. Our tracker recorded it at 87.66c per litre after an increase of 4.38c in October 2026, based on the Minister's October statement. We could not re-open that statement on 1 November because the government site timed out, so treat this figure as "as recorded" until rechecked.

What we do not know

We have not obtained the October 2026 rand breakdown of the BFP, margins and transport costs. So we cannot tell you exactly how many rand of a litre went to the importer, the retailer or transport. We prefer to say so rather than guess. The DMPR publishes the full structure on its fuel price page, and we plan to add it to the tracker.

Worked example: the levy share of a litre in October 2026

Official price of 95 unleaded inland (Gauteng) from 7 October 2026: R30.25 a litre.

  1. Fuel levy + carbon levy + RAF levy = R6.54.
  2. Add the slate levy as recorded = R0.88 (rounded).
  3. Total = about R7.42 a litre, roughly a quarter of the pump price.

At 1 250 km a month in a car using 8 L/100km on paper (we add 30% for real-world driving, so 10.4 L/100km), you use about 130 litres a month. About R965 of that month's fuel bill is these taxes and levies.

How prices moved in 2026

Official 95 unleaded prices, in rand per litre (Gauteng is "inland", coastal is the coastal price):

Adjustment date95 inland95 coastalDiesel 0.05% inland (wholesale)
1 Jan 2026R20.75R19.92R18.42
4 Feb 2026R20.10R19.27R17.92
4 Mar 2026R20.30R19.47R18.54
1 Apr 2026R23.36R22.49R25.91
6 May 2026R26.63R25.76R31.18
3 Jun 2026R28.06R27.19R27.93
1 Jul 2026R26.10R25.23R24.79
5 Aug 2026R25.58R24.71R26.17
2 Sep 2026R26.92R26.05R29.11
7 Oct 2026R30.25R29.38R31.95

For comparison, 95 inland was R21.63 in October 2025. So the October 2026 price was R8.62 a litre (about 40%) higher than a year earlier. Our tracker notes that Brent crude rose from about US$87.89 to US$101 a barrel in the period behind the October increase.

What this means for a household

Using our tracker's method (8 L/100km on paper, +30% real-world, 1 250 km a month = 130 litres), the R9.50 rise between January and October costs about R1 235 more a month in fuel.

The November and December 2026 levy relief

In the Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement on 21 October 2026, the Minister of Finance announced temporary fuel levy relief (SAnews, 21 October 2026):

PeriodPetrolDiesel
4 Nov to 1 Dec 2026R1.50 a litre off the general fuel levyR3.00 a litre off
After that until 5 Jan 2027R1.00 a litre offR1.50 a litre off

The government estimates the cost at R10 billion. The relief reduces the levy part of the price. It does not tell you the final November price, because the BFP for October also changes. When we wrote this on 1 November 2026, the official price for 4 November had not been published. Our tracker will show it once the DMPR announces it. An earlier forecast on our tracker, made on 17 October, did not include the levy relief, so we have removed it.

FAQ

Why is coastal petrol cheaper? Inland prices include the cost of moving fuel from the coast. In October 2026 the gap was 87c a litre.

Why do diesel prices differ between garages? Only the diesel wholesale price is regulated, so retailers set their own pump price.

Does a strong rand help straight away? Only partly. Prices are set on a monthly average, so a stronger rand in one week shows up at the next adjustment.

Is the levy relief permanent? No. As announced, it ends on 5 January 2027.

Sources

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How we research, update and correct these guides: editorial policy. Information only, not financial or tax advice.

Data last updated: · 3 hours ago